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Vol. 02 · New Zealand
WEDNESDAY 14/10/2026
Iss. 2026 / 42
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Economic News is an independent New Zealand publication covering monetary policy, markets, the public finances and the wider economy.

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ACT Fiscal Plan Cuts Debt by $12.4b More by 2031 — Economic News
FISCAL POLICY · 2026 ELECTION

ACT Plan Targets $12.4 Billion Lower Debt by 2031

ACT leader David Seymour says the government pays more than $1 million an hour in interest on its debt. The party has released a fully costed plan to cut net core Crown debt by an extra $12.4 billion by June 2031 compared with Treasury forecasts.

Fiscal Desk12/10/2026 · 14:35 NZT7 min read
FiscalBreaking
FD
Fiscal Desk
Fiscal Policy Correspondent · 12/10/2026 · 14:35 NZT · 7 min read
Wellington financial district street at dawn with office towers and a lone pedestrian

At a glance

ACT's alternative budget pairs a higher super age and welfare tightening with an earlier return to surplus than Treasury's PREFU path.

Key stats

Extra debt cut vs PREFU
$12.4b
by June 2031
Net core Crown debt (ACT)
$217.4b
2030/31
Net core Crown debt (Treasury)
$229.8b
2030/31
OBEGALx surplus (ACT)
$16.4b
2030/31
Operating allowance
$2.0b
cut by $400m
Super eligibility age
67
by 2035

Sources cited

  • Pre-election Economic and Fiscal Update 2026 — Treasury
  • ACT’s fiscal plan cuts the waste to grow the country — ACT Party
  • Act’s fiscal plan: Deeper cuts, earlier surplus, but no income tax cuts — The Spinoff
  • ACT sets out plan to raise retirement age, cut debt, spending and disability benefits — RNZ
  • ‘Shovel money upwards, starve everyone else’ - ACT under fire over proposed disability benefits cuts — RNZ
  • ASB 2026 PREFU Review — ASB
  • ACT Fiscal Plan 2026 — ACT Party
  • Government finances end the year in better shape — RNZ

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Fiscal · 13/10/2026 · 05:35 NZT

National Defers Tax Cuts Until After 2029 Surplus

National Finance spokesperson Nicola Willis stated that income tax cuts are off the table until after a return to surplus, projected for 2028/29 under Treasury forecasts.

Fiscal Desk·13/10/2026 · 05:35 NZT·8 min

All fiscal →

ACT leader David Seymour says the government pays more than $1 million an hour in interest on its debt. The party has released a fully costed plan to cut net core Crown debt by an extra $12.4 billion by June 2031 compared with Treasury forecasts.

Current Fiscal Track

Treasury's Pre-election Economic and Fiscal Update 2026 shows net core Crown debt reaching $229.8 billion, or 39.5% of GDP, in the year ending June 2031. The operating balance before gains and losses excluding ACC stands at a $6.8 billion deficit in 2026/27 before moving to an $11.7 billion surplus by 2030/31.

Debt peaks at $232.8 billion in 2029/30 under the central forecast. Finance costs rise from $9.1 billion in 2025/26 to $13.7 billion in 2030/31.

ACT Proposals

The ACT plan, titled 'Cut the Waste, Grow the Country' and released on 11 October 2026, returns non-protected spending to 2017 per-capita levels adjusted for inflation and population growth. It reduces the annual operating allowance by $400 million to $2 billion.

Key measures include gradually lifting the superannuation eligibility age by three months each year to reach 67 by 2035, saving $1.9 billion annually by 2031. The plan suspends contributions to the NZ Super Fund and tightens disability benefit eligibility, cutting $653 million over four years.

Foreign aid returns to 2017 levels, saving about $283 million per year while protecting Pacific and Ukraine support. No broad income tax cuts are proposed.

OBEGALx and Net Debt Projections
Fiscal Year Ending JuneNZ$ billion
2026/27 OBEGALx Treasury-6.8
2026/27 OBEGALx ACT-6.8
2027/28 OBEGALx Treasury-0.8
2027/28 OBEGALx ACT0.079
2030/31 OBEGALx Treasury11.7
2030/31 OBEGALx ACT16.4
2030/31 Net Debt Treasury229.8
2030/31 Net Debt ACT217.4
ACT plan produces earlier surplus and $12.4 billion less debt by 2031
Source: Treasury PREFU 2026 and ACT Fiscal Plan 2026

Earlier Surplus Path

ACT forecasts an OBEGALx surplus of $79 million in 2027/28, one year ahead of the Treasury path. By 2030/31 the plan projects an OBEGALx surplus of $16.4 billion and an OBEGAL surplus of $13.6 billion.

These outcomes rest on structural spending restraint outside ring-fenced frontline services. The approach reduces future interest burdens on New Zealand taxpayers.

Opposition Reactions

Labour finance spokesperson Barbara Edmonds called the plan a 'punching down' approach.

Overall, its just cut, cut, cut.

Green Party co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick described the KiwiSaver tax changes as 'welfare for the wealthiest'.

Taxpayer Impact

Lower debt accumulation eases pressure on future budgets. Reduced finance costs free resources for priority areas while limiting the burden passed to younger New Zealanders. The plan creates headroom for economic shocks without raising broad taxes.