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Vol. 02 · New Zealand
WEDNESDAY 05/08/2026
Iss. 2026 / 32
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Economic News is an independent New Zealand publication covering monetary policy, markets, the public finances and the wider economy.

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Pasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market StabilityPasifika Unemployment Rate Reaches 11.6 Percent in June QuarterCommerce Commission to Decide T&G Fresh Acquisition by 26 AugustStats NZ to Run $300-400m Traditional Census in 2028 After Reform ImpasseGovernment Extends ETS Settings to 2031 for Market Stability
CTU STATEMENT · BUDGET 2026

CTU urges worker focus in tight Budget 2026 amid $13.9bn deficit

The Council of Trade Unions is pressing the government to deliver targeted relief for workers in the 28 May Budget, citing Australia's recent tax measures for low-income earners as an example.

Fiscal Desk26/05/2026 · 07:21 NZT6 min read
FiscalBreaking
FD
Fiscal Desk
Fiscal Policy Correspondent · 26/05/2026 · 07:21 NZT · 6 min read
New Zealand union members march in protest in Auckland, calling for better pay and working conditions

At a glance

Unions want Budget 2026 to mirror Australia's worker tax offset as NZ faces a $13.9bn deficit, 5.3% unemployment, and record fuel price surges from the Iran war.

Key stats

OBEGALx deficit
$13.9bn
3.0% of GDP, 2025/26
Net Crown debt
$197bn
projected
Unemployment
5.3%
March 2026 quarter
Labour cost index
+2.0%
year to March 2026
Petrol MoM rise
+18.6%
March 2026
Diesel MoM rise
+42.6%
March 2026
Public service cuts
8,700 FTEs
target by July 2029
"The Australians found money to support people in this cost-of-living crisis. We are not sure why our government wouldn't be doing its best to do that as well."Sandra Grey, CTU president

Sources cited

  • Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update 2025 — The Treasury
  • Labour market statistics: March 2026 quarter — Stats NZ
  • Pre-Budget speech to Business North Harbour — Beehive.govt.nz
  • Cost of living | Budget 2026–27 — Australian Government
  • New figures reveal how much the price of fuel surged in March — 1News
  • Factsheet: Investment Boost — New Zealand Government
  • Inflation data confirms real terms minimum wage cut — NZCTU

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All fiscal →

The Council of Trade Unions is pressing the government to deliver targeted relief for workers in the 28 May Budget, citing Australia's recent tax measures for low-income earners as an example.

Council of Trade Unions president Sandra Grey said 70 percent of New Zealand workers have experienced real pay cuts amid weak economic conditions and high living costs.

"The Australians found money to support people in this cost-of-living crisis. We are not sure why our government wouldn't be doing its best to do that as well." — Sandra Grey, CTU president

Australia's 2026–27 Budget introduced a permanent $250 Working Australians Tax Offset from 2027–28 for over 13 million workers. It also adjusted capital gains tax with inflation indexation and a 30 percent minimum rate from July 2027.

A tight fiscal backdrop

New Zealand's Budget 2026 comes as Treasury's Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update 2025 forecasts an OBEGALx deficit of $13.9 billion, or 3.0 percent of GDP, for 2025/26. Net core Crown debt is projected to reach $197 billion.

The government plans to cut the core public service by 8,700 full-time equivalent roles to 55,000 by July 2029, Finance Minister Nicola Willis announced in a pre-Budget speech.

Labour market and cost pressures

Stats NZ data show the unemployment rate at 5.3 percent in the March 2026 quarter. The labour cost index rose 2.0 percent in the year to March 2026.

Petrol prices jumped 18.6 percent month-on-month in March 2026, while diesel rose 42.6 percent, according to 1News and NZ Herald reports on fuel spikes tied to the Iran war.

What the CTU is asking for

Last year's Budget introduced the Investment Boost, offering businesses a 20 percent upfront deduction on new depreciable assets.

Grey suggested possible measures including higher accommodation supplement payments and a larger minimum wage increase. The government did not respond to a request for comment on CTU's specific Budget proposals.

The government has already provided a temporary boost to the in-work tax credit of $50 a week to almost 150,000 families from April 2026 to offset fuel costs.

Fiscal trade-offs ahead

Any new worker supports would add pressure to the fiscal position as the government targets an OBEGALx surplus by 2028/29 or later, according to Treasury's Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update 2025, while managing rising debt.

Public service reductions aim to restrain operating expenditure after inflation-adjusted funding pressures.

OBEGALx balance and net core Crown debt outlook
Deficit narrows toward surplus target; debt continues rising through the forecast period.
Source: Treasury HYEFU 2025

With Budget day now just days away, the CTU's call puts the government's stated fiscal restraint in direct tension with union demands for a worker-centred response to the cost-of-living crisis — a tension Finance Minister Nicola Willis will be expected to address from the dispatch box on 28 May.